China Investment Report, 2010-15
Authors: Ang Zhao
Published: December, 2010
Pages: 152 | Tables: 35 | Figures: 178

China is now one of the world’s fastest growing markets for wind power and is on course to become the biggest of all. This extensive investment report provides reliable, robust estimates of likely developments in China’s wind power industry over the next five years to 2015.

 

Summary

The report’s quantitative growth forecasts are provided in a highly granular format enabling businesses to identify specific opportunities in China. These include: regional forecasts, equipment and turbine size forecasts, inshore/offshore growth forecasts and market share analysis. Research was carried out within government at both national and provincial level to understand future policy changes. With over 200 tables and figures this report is the most comprehensive piece of primary research ever assembled on the Chinese wind market.

 

Methodology

This report is based on face-to-face and email interviews, desk research and data analysis. Data from a wide range of publications and websites has also been incorporated.

This report lays out a series of low-, medium- and high-growth scenarios  to forecast wind power industrial development between 2010 and 2015.

The low-growth scenario is based on the assumption that other low carbon forms of energy, including hydropower, modern biomass and solar, make up a higher proportion of renewable energy growth in the period 2010–15. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is estimated at 17.8% between 2010 and 2015 in the low-growth scenario.

The medium-growth scenario is based on existing government policies, industrial capacity and forecast electricity demand based on an approximate annual GDP growth rate of 8%. The medium-growth scenario assumes a CAGR of 19.8% for cumulative installed capacity (CIC) of wind power.

The high-growth scenario assumes that R&D and investment in wind power and grid upgrading will prosper as central and provincial government policies become more dynamic and ambitious. In this scenario, the report assumes a CAGR of 2.7%. Other growth scenarios in this report are based on the rationale and assumptions mentioned above.

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